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November 2021

Trying to make sense of the omicron COVID variant By Andrea Widburg

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/11/trying_to_make_sense_of_the_omicron_covid_variant.html

The big news today—the one that sent oil prices and stock markets plummeting—is that there is a new variant of COVID emerging in South Africa called. It’s been christened the “omicron” variant. Currently, it’s hard to tell if it’s really something to worry about or if it’s a variation on the theme. It’s enough to know that world governments are reacting as if it’s Spring 2020 all over again, plus more pressure for vaccines, all of which is ironic considering there’s no evidence that anything we did last year or this year helped stop COVID’s rampage.

An article in the San Francisco Chronicle has a mixture of fact and opinion that seems representative of the whole omicron phenomenon. First, the known facts:

The variant was discovered in South Africa, when cases suddenly spiked from an average of about 200 a day to 2,465 on Thursday. Scientists studying samples of the virus to try to explain the outbreak discovered the variant. That doesn’t necessarily mean the variant originated in South Africa, which has among the world’s best viral surveillance systems and may simply have been the first country to identify it.

[snip]

Omicron has many more mutations than the currently world-dominant delta variant — more than 30 on the spike protein alone, which is considered key to the virus’ ability to infect human cells. The large number of mutations has scientists concerned that omicron could be more infectious than delta, and possibly able to evade immunity generated by previous infections or vaccines.

The WHO wrote in a report on the variant that preliminary evidence suggests that omicron might have “increased risk of reinfection.” Among omicron’s many mutations are sequences associated with increased infectiousness and reduced vaccine effectiveness.

[snip]

Scientists still don’t know how omicron matches up with delta — a variant so transmissible that it essentially wiped out other variants of concern like alpha and beta. In the United States, delta still makes up 99% of cases that undergo genomic sequencing.

The Profound Junk Science of Climate By Norman Rogers

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/11/the_profound_junk_science_of_climate.html

Climate change prophecy hangs its hat on computer climate models. The models have gigantic problems. According to Kevin Trenberth, once in charge of modeling at the National Center for Atmospheric research, [none of the] “models correspond even remotely to the current observed climate” [of the Earth]. The models can’t properly model the Earth’s climate, but we are supposed to believe that if carbon dioxide has a certain effect in the imaginary Earths of the many models it will have the same effect on the real earth.

The climate models are an exemplary representation of confirmation bias, the psychological tendency to suspend one’s critical facilities in favor of welcoming what one expects or desires. Climate scientists can manipulate numerous adjustable parameters in the models that can be changed to tune a model to give a “good” result. Technically, a good result would be that the climate model output can match past climate history. But that good result competes with another kind of good result. That other good result is a prediction of a climate catastrophe. That sort of “good” result has elevated the social and financial status of climate science into the stratosphere.

Once money and status started flowing into climate science because of the disaster its denizens were predicting, there was no going back. Imagine that a climate scientist discovers gigantic flaws in the models and the associated science. Do not imagine that his discovery would be treated respectfully and evaluated on its merits. That would open the door to reversing everything that has been so wonderful for climate scientists.  Who would continue to throw billions of dollars a year at climate scientists if there were no disasters to be prevented? No, the discoverer of any flaw would be demonized and attacked as a pawn of evil interests. Richard Lindzen and Roy Spencer come to mind. There are many more skeptical scientists keeping quiet in varying degrees.

Testing a model against past history and assuming that it will then predict the future is a methodology that invites failure. The failure starts when the modeler adds more adjustable parameters to enhance the model. At some point one should ask if we are fitting a model or doing simple curve fitting. If the model has degenerated into curve fitting, it very likely won’t have serious predictive capability.

A Shortage Of Gratitude From The Turkey-Cons On Thanksgiving

https://issuesinsights.com/2021/11/26/a-shortage-of-gratitude-from-the-turkey-cons-on-thanksgiving/

Do you have one or two ungrateful bores in your family who left you with a foul taste in your mouth after the Thanksgiving feast? This week, the two dullest conversationalists at the dinner table picked up and stormed out because they didn’t like the way some of the food was prepared.

Never Trump neocons Jonah Goldberg and Stephen Hayes were lionized by MSNBC and CNN, the two cable channels whose mission it is to destroy conservatism, after announcing their departure from their very occasional Fox News gigs.

Which of them will land at CNN and which at MSNBC? That’s the only question; no one believes those channels won’t be their final destinations, where they will join Biden endorsers Bill Kristol, George Will and other self-styled conservatives who somehow reached the conclusion that venues that give racist riot-monger Al Sharpton and sex fiend Andrew Cuomo’s brother their own shows are more honorable journalistic entities than the home of Laura Ingraham and Brit Hume.

Those who develop and promote the ideas and principles that form the foundation of conservative public policy have always realized that in politics you return home with less than a full loaf. The late, great William F. Buckley, Jr. believed that conservatives should back “the most right, viable candidate who could win.”

But when such a politician attains power, he is bound to disappoint in some ways. George H.W. Bush broke his “Read My Lips: No New Taxes” pledge and appointed David Souter, who ended up being one of the most liberal justices on the Supreme Court (thank you, John Sununu); but conservatives appreciated Bush’s appointment of Clarence Thomas to the highest court in the land, his most consequential legacy; and most applauded him for his Gulf War victory.

That president’s son, Bush 43, enraged those seeking to rein in government by adding a whole new edifice to the Medicare entitlement program, currently on a steady course toward insolvency, but that didn’t preclude the right’s gratitude for his tax cuts, his appointment of Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, and rallying the nation after 9/11 more compellingly than any other president could have.

Many on the right were frustrated with Donald Trump’s vulgarity, his blustery exaggerations, and would even agree with Goldberg’s description of him as “a thin-skinned narcissist” with “no tolerance for criticism.” Some blame him for assembling the crowds on Jan. 6, from which came the mob of lawbreakers who stormed the Capitol, despite Trump’s admonition for all to remain peaceful.

But they weigh those defects and shortcomings against Trump’s policies and appointments – massive tax and regulatory relief that set the economy booming; three Supreme Court appointments that saved the nation from decades of left-wing judicial activism that would have shredded the Constitution; the rebuilding of our defenses and a whole-of-government awakening to China as a long-term enemy, both militarily and economically; and placing a dream team of principled conservatives like Mike Pompeo, Betsy DeVos, Ben Carson, and Bill Barr in the highest-level positions.

A Plea For Copping After school police are cut back, violence rises. By Larry Sand

https://amgreatness.com/2021/11/26/a-plea-for-copping/

In June 2020, the United Teachers of Los Angeles passed a motion to eliminate school police, and replace them with counselors and mental health programs. The union asserted, “Police presence in schools leads to negative outcomes for Black and Brown students, who are arrested and disciplined at higher rates than their peers.” Then, like an obedient puppy, the Los Angeles Unified School District board decided in February of this year to cut 133 or about 40 percent of its school cops in favor of kinder and gentler “climate coaches.” It was also decided that police will no longer patrol campuses, and will only be called upon to respond in-person during emergencies.

Interestingly, George McKenna, the only black L.A.U.S.D. school board member, protested the move. “The school police were never a danger to the students,” he said. “Are you under the assumption that there are no Crips, no Bloods, no gangs out there, and we’re going to do this with social workers?”

It’s worth noting that L.A. isn’t the only city to give cops the boot. Oakland, San Francisco, Sacramento, and Pomona did the same. Caroline Lucas, a youth organizer who advocated for the removal of officers at her school, Pomona High, encapsulates the spirit of the day. “For me, it means that leaders can experiment with what transformative activists have been trying to do.”

Well, the school districts have learned, like Dr. Frankenstein, that not all experiments turn out well. Pomona got a wake-up call after a shooting near Pomona High School left a 12-year-old injured by broken glass and debris. Seeing the light, the school board reversed course, and in a unanimous vote brought back the police after a four-month hiatus, stating that student safety is paramount.

Additionally, there has been a rise in violence in Los Angeles schools since the police were cut back. Using data from the Associated Administrators of Los Angeles, CBS News reports that between August and October of this year, there were 108 assaults, with 16 students requiring hospitalization. Police sources add that 44 weapons recovered, including five handguns and 32 knives.

On November 18, in school police-free Sacramento, several teachers were injured while trying to quell a student brawl that had broken out. The Sacramento Police Department had to be called in to restore order.

Critical Race Theory Destroys American Justice Although Kyle Rittenhouse was acquitted, none of us is safe, so long as “critical race theory” and other Marxist ideas pollute our law schools, our judges’ minds, and our legal system.  By Christopher Roach

https://amgreatness.com/2021/11/26/critical-race-theory-destroys-american-justice-2/

The George Floyd riots, conveniently shut off this past summer, were as much theater as reality. They were designed to associate Donald Trump with police abuses and disorder, while painting Democrats and their notions of “racial justice” as the path forward. 

Ordinary citizens standing up for themselves interfere with this guerilla theater indoctrination; after all, there are a lot more normal people who do not want their towns burned down than there are maniacs willing to do street violence. This is why individuals like Kyle Rittenhouse and citizen self-defense groups are dealt with so harshly by the government and the media. 

Government Did Not Protect Us Last Summer

Consider that there were dozens of fires and beatings and a significant number of killings in Minneapolis, Kenosha, Chicago, Portland, St. Louis, and Seattle in the summer of 2020. Hardly any Antifa and BLM rioters have been brought to justice. Federal authorities have made no significant effort to roll up these groups.

In the cities worst hit by the riots, there appears to be a semi-cooperative relationship between the rioters and prosecutors. In the Rittenhouse trial, prosecutors presented Gaige Grosskreutz as a blameless victim, even though he illegally carried a concealed gun and pointed it at Kyle Rittenhouse after chasing him down. Grosskreutz also escaped responsibility for a subsequent DUI. 

But if Rittenhouse’s presence was provocative and illegal, why was Grosskreutz’s pursuit and brandishing a gun not a more serious crime?

Worse, one of the surprising revelations during the trial was the late production of FBI aerial footage. The high-definition footage had inexplicably disappeared, and the FBI kept news of this all to itself until a media leak. But the infrared, night vision footage remains, supporting Rittenhouse’s narrative and also providing a means to identify the various left-wing criminals who ran amok. Presumably, similar videos were secretly taken during other riots in 2020. 

But, so far as we know, in spite of an impressive surveillance capability, as well as signals intelligence and other resources at its disposal, the FBI has made no significant effort to identify and suppress the leaders, organizers, funders, and foot soldiers of Antifa and BLM responsible for the 2020 riots. 

Instead, we are lately told there is an explosion of “white supremacy” in a country that elected Barack Obama fewer than ten years ago, and that Antifa is only an “ideology,” not a terrorist group. 

Thanksgiving Day: Another Front in the Leftist War on America Guess who wants to “reconsider” and “reevaluate” America’s day to give gratitude? Bruce Thornton

https://www.frontpagemag.com/fpm/2021/11/thanksgiving-day-another-front-leftist-war-america-bruce-thornton-0/

For going on a century, the international Left has been seeking to discredit and undermine the United States. One front in this war comprises attacks on American history, monuments, and the traditional holidays that recognize and celebrate this country’s exceptional institutions, especially political and economic freedom, and the unalienable rights of individuals.

Having failed serially and ruined every country it has governed, the Left has a deep hatred for the nation and principles that achieved what socialism could only promise. Defending our national traditions, then, is not about time off from work, shopping, overeating, and binging on football, but about our being grateful for our freedom, and the importance of the history of our nation’s beginning.

Given the Left’s long animus, there’s no surprise in a story about several American universities gathering at an event that asks whether Americans should “reconsider” and “reevaluate”  Thanksgiving. According to the event’s advertising,

Starting in 1970, many Americans, led by Indigenous protesters, believed that Thanksgiving should be rededicated as a National Day of Mourning to reflect the centuries-long displacement and persecution of Native Americans. The recent shift from Columbus Day to Indigenous Peoples Day reflects a changing national mood. . . .  “Should Americans reconsider Thanksgiving when wrestling with our country’s complicated past?”

Such thinking reflects leftist revisionist history of the Howard Zinn and 1619 Project ilk, which in fact doesn’t correct the alleged partial and partisan historical record of America’s birth and scrub away its self-justifying myths, but rather simply replaces that history with an even more egregiously mythic one that violates every historiographical canon, especially the requirement that we avoid presentism––judging the past by the ideologically tainted standards of today.

The sleepwalkers in the South China Sea David P. Goldman

https://www.weltwoche.ch/amp/2021-47/weltwoche-international/wi-taiwan-die-weltwoche-ausgabe-47-2021.html

Taiwan’s integration into the mainland is a raison d’état for the Chinese regime. The ghosts of 1914 haunt the Pacific.

With just 24 million people, Taiwan is smaller than several Chinese cities. It has one of the world’s lowest fertility rates—much lower than mainland China. Its population under the age of 60 will fall by half during the next 40 years, according to UN projections, and every 100 workers will support 85 pensioners. That is unsustainable. Migration from the mainland is inevitable, and with it the eventual reintegration of Taiwan into the People’s Republic of China—unless the US and China go to war over the island.

Taiwan might be the Sarajevo of the 21st century. In some ways the comparison seems absurd. Serbia’s rapidly population growth directed its land hunger towards neighboring Serbia, while Russia incited Serbia against the Dual Monarchy in its long rivalry with the German cultural sphere. Taiwan by contrast has a dwindling population and a shared culture with the Mainland. A million Taiwanese work in the mainland and Taiwanese companies have invested some $60 billion in mainland industries.

Nonetheless former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger has compared the sharpening of US-Chinese rivalry to the months prior to August 1914, and Admiral James Stavridis, the former head of the US Pacific Command, earlier this year published a novel depicting a US-Chinese nuclear exchange after naval battles in which China sinks a US aircraft carrier. The US and China “will likely find themselves in a full-blown, Cold War-like status in the near future…could this lead the two nations to a hot war? Even a nuclear exchange? Unfortunately, the answer is yes,” Stavridis wrote March 9 in Time Magazine.

The danger lies in a deep asymmetry of perceived interests.