U.S. President Barack Obama, former President Bill Clinton and Secretary of State John Kerry all flew off to Israel and attended the funeral of Shimon Peres, the last remaining political figure from modern Israel’s founding generation. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the current Democratic Party nominee for president, had at one point been listed to attend, but did not make the trip.
The United States is fewer than six weeks away from the conclusion of what is now a tight presidential contest. The race conceivably could soon lean more toward Clinton after the widely watched first debate last Monday night (84 million viewers) between Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, which most pundits suggested she won, a conclusion supported by results from the first polls released after the debate.
However, it has been an unusual and surprising election contest, and there are no guarantees that the broader voting public saw things the same way their media superiors expected it to see them.
The high-level attendance at the funeral by Obama and Bill Clinton will certainly be a plus for Hillary Clinton’s prospects to win a large share of the Jewish vote in closely contested states such as Florida and Pennsylvania. Obama won about seven of every 10 Jewish votes in 2012, down from about eight in 10 in 2008. Bill Clinton scored even higher than this in his two runs for the White House, in 1992 and 1996, so Hillary Clinton can only benefit from association with presidents with far more popular support than she has demonstrated so far. Both Obama and Bill Clinton issued statements full of praise for Peres’ long career and also his commitment both to keep Israel strong but also to seek peace.
Obama’s tribute may be a harbinger of something more to come, presumably in the nine weeks he has left in the White House after the Nov. 8 vote has been cast. The president has just concluded an agreement with Israel for a 10-year military aid bill. The most contentious part of that agreement was Israel’s acceptance that if Congress votes for more assistance in the first two years of the agreement than the agreed $3.8 billion annual amount, it would have to return the excess to the United States. There are constitutional separation-of-powers issues that arise from the agreement, and already Trump has said he does not consider himself bound by the limits, a view also taken by a large number of members in Congress.
In any case, with this settled, Obama may feel free to try his hand at some legacy-building on the Israeli-Palestinian track, an area in which his record of failure follows a long pattern of presidents who thought they had the magic elixir to achieve the two-state solution.