https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21367/iran-deal-grave-mistake
The Iranian regime’s motivations are rooted in its desperation to ensure its survival and to advance its expansionist agenda, not in any willingness to abide by international norms or foster peace.
By re-entering the global financial system and emerging from international isolation, Iran would gain the political and economic breathing room it needs to consolidate power and suppress dissent in the full knowledge that it had bought itself time and reduced the likelihood of coordinated international action against it.
A deal would also provide Iran with political legitimacy and be seen as a victory for the regime, allowing it to portray itself as a credible and lawful actor on the global stage when in truth it is anything but that.
The Iranian regime has recently demonstrated an unusual eagerness to negotiate with the Trump administration to reach a deal with the West. This sudden shift should not deceive the West, particularly the United States, into believing that Tehran’s intentions are either genuine or benign. The Iranian regime’s motivations are rooted in its desperation to ensure its survival and to advance its expansionist agenda, not in any willingness to abide by international norms or foster peace. Recognizing this is critical to preventing what could become a fatal mistake.
The Iranian regime’s eagerness for a deal is driven by several factors, starting with its current unprecedented vulnerability. Since the Islamic Republic was established in 1979, it has never been as fragile as now. Thanks to Israel’s actions, Hezbollah and Hamas, Iran’s key proxies, have been severely weakened, and in December, Iran was forced out of Syria. Hezbollah’s inability to defend Bashar al-Assad’s regime ultimately contributed to its collapse, depriving Iran of its most critical ally in the region and representing a monumental blow to Iran. Assad’s Syria had long served as a crucial conduit for supplying Hezbollah in Lebanon and maintaining Iran’s foothold in the Levant.