https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20724/france-election-uncertainty
The election [French President Emmanuel Macron] unnecessarily provoked could produce a hung parliament in which no party has a majority.
That could make France ungovernable for at least a year, as the president cannot dissolve the parliament within a year of a previous dissolution.
It is still too early to decide how French President Emmanuel Macron might be remembered by history. But one distinction he is unlikely to win is that of “master of timing.” Yet his entourage claims that his decision to call an early general election was a master stroke in good timing.
This is how the argument goes:
With the ultra-right National Rally topping the polls in the European Parliament election earlier this month, Macron saw the danger that it would also win the next presidential election in 2027. So he decided to bring the parliamentary election forward so that the ultra-right’s youthful standard-bearer Jordan Bardella would get the premiership and more than two years in which to be exposed as a disagreeable and incompetent figure, thus allowing Macronists to keep the presidency with a new candidate of their own.
But what if things don’t happen the way Macron the super-strategist fantasized?
In the European election, Bardella’s list won what many see as a “stunning victory” with over 31 percent of the votes and 30 of the 81 French seats in the European Parliament.
Macron’s coalition received only 14.6 percent of the vote, translated into 13 seats. A normal reaction would have come in the form of “too bad, but so what?”
European Parliament elections have never been part of the mainstream of the French political process. These elections are held on a single-round proportional representation basis, which magnifies the rewards.
Held under a different electoral system, parliamentary elections in France do not mirror Euro-elections.
Here, a two-round voting system means 577 separate constituency elections affected by a variety of factors beyond a straight ideological duel.
To win a majority and thus get to name a prime minister, a party or coalition of parties must win at least 289 seats.
No party or coalition of parties has won that many seats in the first round of any parliamentary election in France.
That means you need coalition partners to secure a majority in the second round. Without that, the votes you get in the first round are simply wasted ballots.