https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/03/turkey_threatens_nato_with_the_refugee_weapon.html
The Middle East conflict between Russia and Turkey being played out in Syria has a real possibility of escalating to world-shaking proportions. Business Insider states, “For most close observers, it has long seemed only a matter of time before the long, bloody proxy war between Turkey and Russia for regional predominance in the Middle East would break out into full-scale direct hostilities.” Of course “close observers” are experts and experts have had a very poor prognostication record in the Middle East. But a major conflict cannot be ruled out.
Turkey became a full member of NATO in 1952. Article 5 of the NATO treaty states that an attack on one member of NATO is an attack on all members. The United States would be obligated to enter a Russian-Turkish conflict according to this treaty. Of course, NATO will not enter a Third World War to save Turkey. When Russian-backed Syrian forces attacked a Turkish military outpost killing more than 30 Turkish soldiers, Business Insider described NATO’s response as utterly impotent. Turkey joined NATO at the beginning of the Cold War when the major threat was the Soviet Union. Present conflicts frequently involve Islamic groups opposed to the West. Islamic Turkey sometimes appears to have divided loyalties.
There is significant evidence that Turkey aided ISIS in the past. A Foreign Policy article contends that Turkey “helped fuel the rise of the Islamic State in the first place.” 30,000 militants traveled through Turkey to Iraq and Syria in 2013 to join the Islamic State. Turkey was also a major buyer of ISIS-extracted crude oil and therefore a major funder of ISIS. Putin complained, “We see from the sky where these vehicles [carrying oil] are going. They are going to Turkey day and night.” Russia’s Deputy Defense Minister Anatoly Antonov asserted, “President Erdogan and his family are involved in this criminal business.” Israel’s former Minister of Defense Moshe Yaalon called Turkey “Hamas’ terror headquarters outside of Gaza.”