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ELECTIONS

Pollster Who Nailed 2016 Says Trump Fast-Closing Gap With Nonstop Rallies Paul Sperry

https://issuesinsights.com/2020/10/30/pollster-who-nailed-2016-says-trump-fast-closing-gap-with-nonstop-rallies/

Conventional wisdom says that along with killing more than 228,000 Americans, the coronavirus has killed President Trump’s chances of a second term. Virtually all the Beltway pundits believe it. Wall Street appears to be pricing it in. Vegas is betting on it.

Yet even as most national polls have Democrat Joe Biden ahead by a seemingly insurmountable margin, “America’s most accurate pollster” has crunched the numbers and found a number of recent developments that give underdog Trump hope for another upset.

“The race is on the cusp of entering the competitive zone,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics, a New Jersey-based polling firm that partners with Investor’s Business Daily. (The IBD/TIPP Poll was one of only two polls to predict President Trump’s victory in 2016; and in fact, was the only national poll to show Trump ahead in a four-way race heading into Election Day 2016.)

Mayur filled me in on some very interesting trends his team is seeing that all the gloomy pundits are missing. For one, Trump has “room to grow” in garnering votes in red states, while Biden has “peaked” in blue states. And Trump is creating some “real momentum” every day barnstorming rural areas of battleground states.

GDP Explodes 33.1% — Media Bury The Story

https://issuesinsights.com/2020/10/30/gdp-explodes-33-1-media-bury-the-story/

“So let’s review. The economy is rebounding from the pandemic lockdowns faster than anyone expected. Jobs are returning faster than the experts predicted, with employment growing by 14.2 million since April’s huge COVID-related plunge.”

A few weeks ago we noted that the third-quarter GDP number was likely to be a stunner, defying the endless claims by the press that the economy will struggle to emerge from the COVID-19 lockdowns. We also warned that voters wouldn’t get the news through the mainstream press.

Well, we were right on both counts.

The economy grew an absolutely breathtaking 33.1% from July through September, a quarterly gain never before achieved in this country. That means that we’ve already made up two-thirds of the losses. (Under Obama, it took a full year before the economy regained two-thirds of the loss suffered in the 2009 recession.)

Not only was the growth astonishing, it exceeded all expectations. At the start of the quarter, the Blue Chip Consensus was for the rebound to be less than 20%. After the quarter ended, it predicted that growth would be less than 30%.

The press? Well, it buried the story as deep as it possibly could.

Below is a slideshow presenting the home pages of major news sites as of 11 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday.

See for yourself how much space was devoted to this news. On several sites, the story doesn’t appear “above the fold.” On USA Today’s home page, you have to scroll two-thirds of the way to the bottom to see a link. And the feature story on its Money page was about National Cat Day .

If the stories appeared on the front page at all, the news about stellar third-quarter growth was followed by a big cautionary statement.

“…Problems remain,” says the New York Times.

“…That’s not the whole story,” says CNN

“…But the data is complicated,” says the Washington Post

“…But slowdown emerges,” says USA Today.

There is a cascade preference for Trump among black voters By Andrea Widburg

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/10/there_is_a_cascade_preference_for_trump_among_black_voters.html

Before Trump took office, conventional wisdom was that American blacks would never vote Republican. As Lyndon Johnson reputedly said after passing the Civil Rights Act, “I’ll have those n****** voting Democratic for the next 200 years.” It didn’t matter that Democrats broke their promises or that their policies worsened the plight of inner-city blacks. Black voters remained loyal. This year, though, after Trump spent four years making a positive difference for black America, blacks are breaking ranks and openly supporting President Trump.

Thomas Sowell wrote in 2016, shortly before Trump was elected, “Black votes matter. If Republicans could get 20 percent of black votes, the Democrats would be ruined.” He added, though, “This is highly unlikely, given the approach used by Republicans.”

Thankfully, Trump jettisoned the traditional Republican approach to blacks, which was to ignore them. He supercharged the economy, which helped blacks. He choked off illegal immigration, which helped blacks. He reversed the disastrous 1994 Crime Bill that sent generations of black sons, brothers, and fathers to prison. He partnered with Sen. Tim Scott to create opportunity zones in black communities. He also worked with faith leaders, academics, musicians, and Kardashians, always with an eye, not to aggrandizing himself, but truly to improving the quality of black life in America.

Trump’s efforts have paid off. Van Jones, a black progressive, has acknowledged that Trump’s efforts have improved life for poor blacks. Van Jones isn’t the only black person to notice these positive changes.

The Biden Contradiction He’s running on Covid and character, but his policies are the most left-wing in decades.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-biden-contradiction-11604012546?mod=opinion_lead_pos1

The Wall Street Journal hasn’t endorsed a presidential candidate since 1928—Hoover—and we aren’t about to change this year. But we do try to sum up the risks and promise of the candidates every four years, and we’ll start today with the contradictory candidacy of Joe Biden.

The former Vice President is running as a reassuring moderate, a man of good character who can reunite the country and crush Covid-19 after the disruptive Trump Presidency. Yet he also is running on the most left-wing policy program in decades.

Voters have little idea about these policies because Mr. Biden mentions them only in the most vague, general terms. The press barely reports them. Americans may think they’re voting for Joe’s persona, but they will get the platform of Kamala Harris, Nancy Pelosi, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.

Joe Biden’s Covid Fairy Tale His plan seems to be to wait until a magical sprite waves her wand and makes the virus vanish in a poof.By David Gelernter

https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-covid-fairy-tale-11604011900?mod=opinion_lead_pos8

The Democrats want to turn Covid against the president, and they appear to be succeeding. But their strategy makes no sense in the end—perhaps because Joe Biden makes no sense.

The first big problem is that President Trump’s handling of the plague has been sensible from the start. Be careful until treatment improves and a vaccine is ready. Pour all the money and resources you’ve got down the throats of America’s best research labs. This scheme is working. Fatality rates are way down, treatment has improved, and several vaccines are almost ready, all in record time.

It’s hard to attack a plan that is accomplishing its goals. Consider Mr. Biden’s claim that our high Covid death rate is the president’s fault. Actual scientists have other explanations, such as the high rates of pre-existing conditions in the U.S., and New York City—with its large population and population density—being one of our first hot spots and still exercising heavy influence on the figures. Our death rates remain lower than those of several large European countries. This accusation is pure Bidentalk: not merely false but greasy.

If Mr. Biden were a sensible man, he’d be promising more programs like Operation Warp Speed—the federal effort to accelerate the development of a vaccine. Naturally, Americans remain scared of the disease: It is highly infectious and can be serious to the elderly and, occasionally, to others. It’s hard to notice progress when you’re frightened.

No Newsroom Is Safe If The Intercept Can Fall Victim to Media Groupthink By Jack Crowe

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/no-newsroom-is-safe-if-the-intercept-can-fall-victim-to-media-groupthink/

Glenn Greenwald founded The Intercept in 2013 with the explicit goal of creating a news outlet that would be insulated from the partisan and financial pressures inherent to corporate media.

As he acknowledges in a resignation letter published Thursday, that project has ultimately failed.

The Intercept’s editors, who Greenwald notes repeatedly are almost all based in New York, forbade him from publishing a column airing well-documented allegations of Biden family corruption. They told him that he couldn’t publish the piece as written at The Intercept, supposedly in violation of his contract, and discouraged him from publishing it elsewhere, as doing so would be “unfortunate and detrimental to The Intercept.”

“The final, precipitating cause [of resignation] is that The Intercept’s editors, in violation of my contractual right of editorial freedom, censored an article I wrote this week, refusing to publish it unless I remove all sections critical of Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden,” Greenwald wrote. 

In so doing, the editors were following in the footsteps of their media betters at the New York Times, the Washington Post, CNN, and MSNBC, all of which have either ignored the documents and first-hand accounts of corruption proffered by the former CEO of a Biden family business, or woven them into some meta-narrative about the importance of media gatekeeping in protecting credulous readers from foreign disinformation.

The Five Reasons America Should Reelect Trump

https://www.theepochtimes.com/the-five-reasons-america-should-reelect-trump_3557735.html

Elections are about choices. When it comes to the presidency, the choice is between two people and the policies they likely will pursue. In 2020, I am choosing to vote for the reelection of President Trump and here are the most important reasons why.

Before I list those reasons, I note that four years ago, I wanted three things out of a Trump presidency. First, I wanted him to enact tax and regulatory reform so that the economy could grow beyond the average of 2 percent a year in growth that was the result of years of too much growth in government spending and regulations. Keep in mind, the higher spending and regulation is as a percentage of the economy, the lower economic growth becomes.

Second, I wanted him to keep us safe. I wanted a strong national defense that wouldn’t appease Iran and Russia.

Finally, I wanted President Trump to appoint Judges that would NOT be judicial activists. I wanted the Constitution to preserved.

So, here are the reasons I will vote to reelect President Trump.

Trump Kept His Promises and Is Always Pushing Ahead. Trump promised to do those three things above and, lo and behold, he kept him promises. Indeed, Trump has kept more promises than any President in modern times. He literally shows up to work and demands that progress be made regardless of the time of year or election cycle. Hence, taking on North Korea in an Election year (2018) and Middle East Peace in 2020.

Elections are about choices. When it comes to the presidency, the choice is between two people and the policies they likely will pursue. In 2020, I am choosing to vote for the reelection of President Trump and here are the most important reasons why.

Before I list those reasons, I note that four years ago, I wanted three things out of a Trump presidency. First, I wanted him to enact tax and regulatory reform so that the economy could grow beyond the average of 2 percent a year in growth that was the result of years of too much growth in government spending and regulations. Keep in mind, the higher spending and regulation is as a percentage of the economy, the lower economic growth becomes.

Second, I wanted him to keep us safe. I wanted a strong national defense that wouldn’t appease Iran and Russia.

Finally, I wanted President Trump to appoint Judges that would NOT be judicial activists. I wanted the Constitution to preserved.

So, here are the reasons I will vote to reelect President Trump.

Joe Biden Clinched Communist China’s Vote in the Final Debate Ben Weingarte

https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-clinched-communist-chinas-vote-final-debate

While Moscow was surely tickled over Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s baseless chalking up of verified revelations of politically devastating and national security-threatening Biden family corruption to Russian disinformation, it was Beijing that got the last laugh from the final presidential debate.

During the contest, the former vice president, in effect, made his closing argument to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)—not that it needed reassurance, given Biden’s decades of invaluable support for communist China’s rise.

Biden affirmed that if elected president, America would return to the untenable U.S. posture toward China of weakness, appeasement and managed decline—the position long-favored by the globalist political establishment that backs him—with the CCP’s helping hand.

He did so, in touching upon three topics: the Chinese coronavirus, competition and corruption.

On the coronavirus, Biden made clear that he would neither blame the CCP for its culpability in spreading the disease nor punish it for its malign behavior. The CCP surely took this as a favorable signal. Where President Trump plainly said of the coronavirus, “it’s China’s fault,” former Vice President Biden instead pointed his finger at President Trump, putting every fatality on the president. “Anyone [who] is responsible for…[220,000] deaths should not remain as president of the United States of America,” Biden declared. This from a man who, several times during the debate, claimed he was a unifier of all Americans—63 million of whom voted for the man Biden essentially called a mass murderer.

One would think holding a broadly unpopular China to account for its malign behavior in connection with the disease would be something about which most Americans could agree. At least half the country did as of July 2020, according to Pew. Yet when asked by moderator Kristen Welker of NBC if, as President Trump indicated he would, a would-be President Biden would “make China pay” for its coronavirus cover-up, Biden refused. He replied: “What I’d make China do is play by the international rules. …We need to be having the rest of our friends with us saying to China, ‘These are the rules. You play by them, or you’re going to pay the price for not p[l]aying by them economically.'”

The American dream vs. the dark winter Jessica Curtis

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/10/the_american_dream_vs_the_dark_winter.html

We’ve finally reached the home stretch for the 2020 election, in what seems like the longest year of our lifetimes.

As candidates tend to do, President Trump is now saying the 2020 election is the most important of his lifetime.  Where this election falls in terms of historical importance is up for debate.  There is no uncertainty around the importance of a presidential election in any year, but that’s particularly the case when one side openly advertises its desire to rip America up by its roots and plant an entirely new system in its place.

What has become clear throughout this campaign is the two entirely contrasting views on where to take our country.  We’re voting for two very different versions of America: Joe Biden’s pessimistic view versus President Donald Trump’s optimistic view.

President Trump’s vision for America sees blue skies ahead.  He vows to reproduce the record economy that saw stocks and 401(k)s going through the roof before COVID-19.  Wages went up for everyone, most noticeably for the lowest wage–earners.  We had record-low or near-record-low unemployment for virtually every demographic group.  Now we’re staring down potentially record-setting third-quarter GDP numbers, showing we do have the ability to return to prosperity.

U.S. Economy Roared Back To Life In Q3 With Fastest Growth In History By Jordan Davidson

https://thefederalist.com/2020/10/29/u-s-economy-roared-back-to-life-in-q3-with-fastest-growth-in-history/

The United States economy made history in the third fiscal quarter of 2020 when gross domestic product jumped at a record rate, signifying a resurgence in the economy following a depletion during COVID-19 lockdowns.

Data shows this jump is the largest output gain since the 1940s when the government began to track GDP data.

GDP for the third quarter, which is measured as the total goods and services produced from July to September, rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 33.1 percent, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce‘s Bureau of Economic Analysis.

This rebound is a drastic contrast to the 31.4 percent decrease in real GDP during the second quarter, following the 9 percent decline from the first to the second quarter, and a 7.4 percent increase from the second to the third quarter.

This surprising and historical economic growth, the BEA report released on Thursday states, was spurred by increases in “consumer spending, inventory investment, exports, business investment, and housing investment that were partially offset by a decrease in government spending,” on both the federal and state level.

Despite fears that economic recovery from the pandemic would be difficult, this drastic GDP growth reflects a return in consumer activities such as shopping and eating out at restaurants or bars as more states and cities begin to open up from government-mandated lockdowns due to coronavirus, resulting in personal consumption increasing 40.7 percent, gross private domestic investment increasing 83 percent, and residential investments increasing 59.3 percent.

President Donald Trump celebrated the GDP growth, noting that Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden’s policies would have the opposite effect if elected.

“GDP number just announced. Biggest and Best in the History of our Country, and not even close. Next year will be FANTASTIC!!! However, Sleepy Joe Biden and his proposed record setting tax increase, would kill it all. So glad this great GDP number came out before November 3rd,” Trump tweeted.