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ELECTIONS

Will the Republicans Really Win Back the Congress? There are a lot of ifs and time grows short. By Victor Davis Hanson

https://amgreatness.com/2022/08/24/will-the-republicans-really-win-back-the-congress/

The late spring scenario of a massive GOP win—in historic proportions analogous to 1938, 1994, or 2010—is said now to be “iffy.”

The Left boasts that it now has a chance at keeping the House, with even better odds for maintaining control over the Senate. 

Polls are all over the place. Now they show generic Republican leads, now Democratic. 

The general experience in polling is that they are more often conducted by left-leaning institutions and massaged to show Democratic “momentum.” 

Since the polling meltdown of 2016—when most polls showed a Hillary Clinton Electoral College landslide—they have regained little credibility. 

Current progressive heartthrob and spoiler Representative Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) was polled at only 20 percent behind in her recent primary—only to be crushed in the end, losing by over 37 percent.

The corporate leftist media does its part by glorifying a now dynamic “Aviator Joe.” 

Biden in cool sunglasses is now constructed into a swaggering “Top Gun” Tom Cruise-like figure, rather than a cognitively challenged 79-year-old. 

Biden’s just passed reconciliation “Inflation Reduction Act,” according to most experts, will raise taxes even on the middle class and spur inflation. So, the media euphemistically renames it a “climate change bill.” 

With a stroke of his pen before the midterms, Biden forgives $300 billion in student debt—without a care for the dutiful who paid their loans off or those who did not go to college but will now pay for those that did.

If inflation is running at 8.5 percent over last July’s prices, the White House giddily announces inflation is “zero” because it did not climb at 9.1 percent over 2021 prices—as it did in June. 

That’s like saying someone entombed in a sinkhole 10 feet below ground is no longer trapped at all since he floated up one foot since falling.

A School Board Revolt in Florida Candidates endorsed by Gov. DeSantis win to control two big districts

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-school-board-revolt-in-florida-ron-desantis-parents-districts-teachers-union-11661377688?mod=opinion_lead_pos2

Tuesday’s elections highlighted Republican midterm weaknesses (see nearby), but one exception was school board races in Florida. Conservatives flipped control of at least two big districts that had put unions ahead of children.

Twenty-five of the 30 school board members endorsed by Gov. Ron DeSantis won or advanced in their races, campaigning on parental rights, transparency, school choice and safety. GOP-backed candidates won three elections in Sarasota County, creating a new 4-1 majority. They also scored two big wins in Miami-Dade, which now becomes the largest U.S. school district with a conservative majority. Both school boards last year voted to mandate that students keep wearing masks, defying parents and Florida law.

The wins are a coup for Mr. DeSantis, who is turning parental control and educational choice into a GOP advantage. The elections are political vindication for his parental bill of rights bill that became law this spring that was widely criticized in the national press.

The Governor last year expanded the state’s voucher program to add tens of thousands of additional low-income students. Mr. DeSantis put these ideas to the voter test on Tuesday, working with Republicans and the 1776 Project PAC to raise money for reform candidates, and turning the school elections into the most competitive in memory.

Voters Moving to the Right Across Almost Every Demographic, Says Massive Survey By Athena Thorne

https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/athena-thorne/2022/08/24/voters-moving-to-the-right-across-almost-every-demographic-says-massive-survey-n1623811

Morning Consult has reported five years’ worth of data from over 8.6 million participants that shows a trend of America’s registered voters moving steadily to the ideological right.

“The left is losing the battle for the minds of the American electorate, Morning Consult research shows, with voters decreasingly identifying as liberal in recent years,” writes Morning Consult political reporter Eli Yokley. “But that doesn’t mean the country is lurching to the right.”

Yokley then makes an effort to pretend the trend isn’t what it looks like: “Instead, an increase in the share of Americans who identify as moderate, or who are uncertain about where exactly they stand on the ideological spectrum, reveals a growing and electorally decisive center that is discontented with either side’s extremes.”

Except that the percentage of voters who identify as conservative actually increased slightly, while only those who call themselves liberal decreased. Call me crazy but that just sounds like Democrats are turning away from far-left ideology to become more moderate:

The share of the electorate who identifies as “very liberal,” “liberal” or “somewhat liberal” on a seven-point scale has dropped over the past five years, from 34% to 27%, according to extensive annual Morning Consult survey research conducted among more than 8.6 million U.S. voters since 2017.

Election-Year Censorship

https://issuesinsights.com/2022/08/24/election-year-censorship/

Social media companies were part of what Time magazine called “​​an extraordinary shadow effort” whose objective was to prevent Donald Trump from being reelected in 2020. Two years later, and surely emboldened by their success, they are back, their sights set on throwing the midterm elections to the Democrats.

There can be no doubt that social media is aligned with the left in a political cleansing of Republican candidates and voters. According to the Time article, The Secret History of the Shadow Campaign That Saved the 2020 Election, “a well-funded cabal of powerful people” “successfully pressured social media companies to take a harder line against disinformation and used data-driven strategies to fight viral smears.”

Of course “disinformation” and “viral smears” were anything that hurt Democrats and helped Republicans. Truth was never a consideration.

And neither is it today.

“Two of the leading platforms responsible for censoring the bombshell New York Post Hunter Biden scandal stories before the 2020 presidential election are gearing up to censor free speech to combat so-called ‘misinformation’ ahead of the 2022 midterm elections,” the Media Research Center reported last week.

According to the MRC account, Facebook’s parent company Meta, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Twitter have “pledged to target ‘misleading narratives’ by suppressing election content they deem to be false, misleading, or dangerous.” 

Meta has publicly acknowledged that it’s fielding a “dedicated team focused on the 2022 midterms to help combat election and voter interference,” and even indicated, says the MRC, “that government may even collude with the platform in censoring content.” 

Rep. Nadler ousts colleague Maloney in New York House Democratic primary brawl by Carly Roman

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/rep-nadler-ousts-colleague-maloney-in-new-york-house-democratic-primary-brawl

Rep. Jerry Nadler triumphed on Tuesday over his onetime ally Rep. Carolyn Maloney in a primary race that pitted the two incumbent Democrats against each other for control over a newly drawn congressional district.

Nadler, who under New York’s outgoing congressional lines represented a district that hugged Manhattan’s west side and continued into parts of Brooklyn, will become the Democratic Party nominee to embark on what will likely be a cruise-control ride to the November finish line in the 12th Congressional District after a double-digit victory over Maloney, according to the Associated Press.

“Well New York…we did it! I’m so deeply grateful for your continued support and trust—I promise to keep on fighting for New Yorkers in Congress. Onwards!” Nadler tweeted.

The chairman of the House Judiciary Committee positioned himself as the more progressive candidate in his bid to represent the heavily Democratic district, touting endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and New York’s left-wing Working Families Party and slamming his opponent for her votes in support of the Iraq War and the Patriot Act. Nadler focused on national issues, drawing heavily on his background as a leading voice in favor of the two efforts to impeach former President Donald Trump.

Liz Peek: Democrats’ spin Biden success and wish upon a star for midterm magic but don’t you believe it

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/democrats-spin-biden-success-wish-upon-star-midterm-magic

Are Republicans really about to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory? 

That’s what the liberal media would have you believe. For the past few weeks the New York Times, Washington Post et al – the usual message boards for the Democratic National Committee – have been celebrating Joe Biden’s slightly rising poll numbers and legislative “accomplishments.”

“Biden is on a roll” trumpeted the Times recently, quoting White House aides claiming the president has enjoyed a “string of victories [that] compares favorably to the two-year legislative record of most any other modern president.” 

According to the Times, Biden recently descended from Air Force One with a “jaunty step, a playful manner and a huge grin” – that’s how reinvigorated the 79-year old president is. Once again, the Times reports, within the halls of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, Biden is being likened to LBJ or FDR.

Politico ran a piece under the headline, “Wait, Is Biden a Better President Than People Thought?

The simple answer is: no. Biden is still an unpopular, ineffective president whose recent promise to get out on the campaign trail (now that he has recovered from COVID) must have Democrat candidates shaking in their boots. 

Few want the president at their side when they are trying to explain to Americans why egg prices are up 38% in the past year and why Covid-19 still haunts the land despite Biden’s promise that the vaccine would kill off the virus. They can’t imagine Biden’s response when voters ask how our booming economy fell into recession, or why Democrats are allowing some 2 million people to enter the U.S. illegally this year. Or when Americans ask how the president plans to make our cities’ streets safe again. 

Who Is Joe Pinion? He could be the candidate to topple Senator Schumer. Ira Stoll

He could be the candidate to topple Senator Schumer.

Who is Joe Pinion?

When a colleague called with that question last week, I was stumped. It turns out that he is the Republican Party’s candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 in New York, running against the Senate majority leader, Charles Schumer. 

The Schumer-Pinion race is a study in contrasts, and not only when it comes to name recognition. Mr. Schumer’s campaign has raised a lot more money: Federal Election Commission data through June 30, 2022, show that Mr. Schumer had raised $39 million to Mr. Pinion’s $254,397, and that Mr. Schumer had $37.9 million in cash on hand, while Mr. Pinion had $25,150. 

Mr. Schumer, 71, was elected to Congress in 1980 and to the New York State assembly in 1974; Mr. Pinion just turned 39 and has not yet been elected to political office.

Mr. Pinion himself says in a phone interview that people thought he was “crazy” to try to beat Mr. Schumer. He says, though, that he’s in a “great position” to take on the majority leader. Two polls taken in late July show Mr. Schumer with support at 53 percent or 56 percent, down from the 70 percent of the vote Mr. Schumer won when he was re-elected in 2016. A McLaughlin poll taken in August found 42 percent of New Yorkers would re-elect Mr. Schumer, while 48 percent want someone else.

The Woman Who Trounced Cheney is a Fighter America needs more of Wyoming’s old-fashioned individualism and Harriet Hageman will bring that to Washington.  By Karin McQuillan

https://amgreatness.com/2022/08/18/the-woman-who-trounced-cheney-is-a-fighter/

Wyoming didn’t just vote against Liz Cheney to express support for Donald Trump. Like President Trump, Harriet Hageman is not a politician. She is a fighter for the country. She ran because there is a big job to be done and she is a big enough person to step up and take it on. 

Hageman, the woman who on Tuesday trounced U.S. Representative Liz Cheney in the Wyoming Republican primary, is one of the nation’s top water and land rights lawyers, able to notch her belt with major wins against the EPA and radical environmental groups on behalf of ordinary people. She knows the administrative state for the monster that it is and has ideas about how to stop it from devouring our freedoms and our Constitution.

She was able to beat the powerful Cheney-Bush machine for the same reasons that Donald Trump won in 2016, 2020 and will win again in 2024. Hageman loves America. She is unafraid and incorruptible. She fights to win. She thinks out of the box and goes on offense. She had a positive and optimistic message based on America’s strengths. She is also a much harder worker than her opponent. And she is a smart person offering practical, common-sense policies that will return us to freedom and prosperity.

Sounds like Donald Trump himself, doesn’t she?

As a pampered child of the political elite, Cheney completely underestimated that a non-politician on a budget campaign would be a formidable—indeed unstoppable—opponent.  

Cheney offered nothing but NeverTrump hatred. Wyoming voters—and I am one—rightly turned on her for her delusional beliefs in a January 6 “insurrection.” We didn’t care for the stench of her self-righteous love of power. 

But we did more than that. We know we live in perilous times. This isn’t a horse race; it is a fight for America’s destiny. We are sending to Washington a top-flight representative to stand for our interests. She’s someone who can be a key helper to Trump when he cleans house of the deep state—the biggest challenge facing our nation. Hageman was not just fighting the Cheney-Bush cartel. She is fighting for America.

Wyoming Republicans Throw Liz Cheney Out Of Congress By: Tristan Justice

https://thefederalist.com/2022/08/16/wyoming-republicans-throw-liz-cheney-out-of-congress/

Cheney’s obsession with Trump not only antagonized members of her own party on Capitol Hill but also sank her in Wyoming.

Cheney, a three-term incumbent, lost after the congresswoman was overwhelmingly kicked from her number three role in House leadership as chair of the Republican conference. The Wyoming lawmaker traded her influential perch in GOP leadership for a lead act spearheading the Democrats’ latest anti-Trump crusade in the form of the Select Committee on Jan. 6, on which Cheney is vice chair.

Days after the 2021 Capitol riot, Cheney embarked on a futile campaign to recruit Republican colleagues for the Democrats’ snap impeachment of outgoing President Donald Trump.

“The president of the United States summoned this mob, assembled the mob, and lit the flame of this attack,” Cheney said in a statement at the time. “Everything that followed was his doing.”

In all, only nine GOP lawmakers joined the effort, some of whom had already announced their intent before Cheney’s announcement, calling into question Cheney’s real influence. The ensuing months would see Cheney stripped of her title in House leadership as the congresswoman embarked on a never-ending feud with Trump as a hallmark of her time in the lower chamber.

What About Democrats Who ‘Deny Elections’? Where is the concern about “election deniers” when the Left cries foul? Larry Elder

https://www.frontpagemag.com/fpm/2022/08/what-about-democrats-who-deny-elections-larry-elder/

After the recent annual Conservative Political Action Conference convention in Dallas, CNN published a video with the following headline: “Election deniers take over CPAC after primary victories.” In a recent appearance on CBS, Republican Rep. Paul Kinzinger, R-Ill., who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump and serves on the House Jan. 6 committee, said: “The only thing we need for democracy to survive is the knowledge that you can vote, that that vote counts, and we live with the winner and loser. If half the country believes that that wasn’t accurate, you can’t expect democracy to survive.”

Where was this concern about “election deniers” when Democrats have complained about “stolen” elections?

In 2018, Democrat Stacey Abrams claimed she lost her Georgia gubernatorial race due to voter “suppression.” In her speech after the election was called for her opponent, she refused to concede. Three years later, she told CNN that her opponent “won under the rules of the game at the time, but the game was rigged against the voters of Georgia.” A USA Today fact check said, “There is little empirical evidence (opponent Georgia then-Secretary of State Brian) Kemp stole the election.

Former Vice President Al Gore, in a Washington Post interview two years after his presidential defeat to George W. Bush, said, “I believe that if everyone in Florida who tried to vote had had his or her vote counted properly, that I would have won.”