Reminder: Biden Has 3,894 — or 99 Percent — of Pledged DNC Delegates By Philip Klein
With full-blown panic setting in among Democrats following President Biden’s disastrous debate performance, the question of an open convention to replace him has been thrown around. But realistically, Biden won’t be replaced unless he can be convinced to withdraw.
The delegate math is this: There are 1,976 delegates required to win the Democratic nomination, and Biden has 3,894. Two other candidates have a combined seven with another 36 uncommitted. In other words, he controls about 99 percent of pledged delegates.
There are an additional 739 superdelegates, but they can only vote in a second ballot and even if every one of them wanted to oust Biden, it wouldn’t make a lick of difference.
Thus, if Biden is determined to keep running, Democrats won’t plausibly be able to replace him.
That is why, as I noted on our liveblog, First Lady Jill Biden is now the most important person in politics. If she can be convinced that her husband needs to step aside, then she is the only person who would be able to persuade him to do so. If she wants him to stay in the fight, Democrats are almost certainly stuck with him.
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