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ELECTIONS

RICH BAEHR ON SENATE RACES

Republicans running for Senate are  in competitive races. Though almost  all of the competitive races are Republicans representing Republican held seats, Democrats have raised far  more money than the Republicans  in virtually every one of these races. In some races , local media advertising is less expensive, so your dollars could go further- Iowa, Montana, Kansas, Alaska, Maine. The closest races are Iowa, Maine, Montana, South Carolina, Georgia (Perdue seat) , and Michigan. Kansas and Alaska are tougher to judge state of the race since there is infrequent polling. North Carolina seems to be tightening due to the Democratic candidate’s extra curricular activities. 

So here are the links, and a brief state of the race for each:
Pickup chances:

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville holds a lead of just over 5 points versus Democratic Senator  Doug Jones. This is one of two races where Republicans could pick up a seat. 

https://tommyforsenate.com/home/ 

Michigan: John James, an African American war veteran,  has pulled into a near tie with Democratic Senator Ralph Peters. This is one of the few recent bright spots in GOP polling. This is one of two races where Republicans could pick up a seat.https://johnjamesforsenate.com

Republicans defending seats:

Texas: Senior John Cornyn is ahead in  polls, by a bit more than 5%. 

https://www.johncornyn.com/

Arizona: Senator Martha McSally is trailing in polls by a bit over 5%:

https://www.mcsallyforsenate.com/ 

Georgia: Senator David Perdue has a small lead in polls- 2-3 point against Jon Ossoff:

https://perduesenate.com 

Georgia has a second Senate race this year to complete the term of Johnny Isaacson. Appointed Senator Kelly Loeffler and Congressman Doug Collins are in the jungle primary on election day against several Democrats, with one of them,  Raphael Warnock, the principal competition. If no-one gets 50% on November 3 (likely), then the top two will have a runoff in January, with one of the two Republicans against Warnock. Generally, Republicans do well in special elections in the state, but if control of the Senate were at stake, turnout could be higher than usual, and result is uncertain.

 https://kellyforsenate.com         https://www.dougforgeorgia.com

Montana:  Senator Steve Daines is in a very close race with Governor Steve Bullock, maybe a 1-2 point lead. 

 https://www.stevedaines.com

Maine: Senator Suan Collins is slightly behind (2-3 points) versus Sara Gideon

https://www.susancollins.com/ 

North Carolina: Senator Tom Tillis is a few points behind  Cal Cunningham, who seems to be an active serial philanderer. 

https://secure.winred.com/thom-tillis/pitch-in?utm_medium=ad&utm_source=search&utm_campaign=20200416_adwords-national_ad-search

Iowa: Senator Joni Ernst is slightly behind  (2-3 points) Theresa Greenfield

https://secure.redsenate.org/contribute/ernst?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIgc-z0pKy7AIVho3ICh3XbQ0aEAAYASAAEgIaT_D_BwE

South Carolina: Senior Lindsay Graham is in a very close race against Democrat Jaime Harrison. Graham may have a very small lead but Harrison has set fundraising records for a Senate race.

https://secure.redsenate.org/contribute/graham?gclid=EAIaIQobChMI3ajl9pOy7AIVWQiICR3RZQTnEAAYAiAAEgIoTfD_B 

Colorado: Senator Corey Gardner is trailing against former Governor John Hickenlooper by over 5 points.

https://secure.redsenate.org/contribute/gardner?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIz8CDlJSy7AIVgbbICh3YygAGEAAYASAAEgI6-vD_BwE

Kansas: Roger Marshall is the Republican coveting in an open seat race for a currently GOP held seat (Pat Roberts).  He has a small lead (less than 5 points) over Democrat Barbara Bollier in this infrequently polled race.

 . https://kansansformarshall.com

Alaska: Senator Dan Sullivan, has a small lead of 5 points or less over Democrat/Independent Al Gross  in this infrequently polled state. Democrats have started spending heavily this race, suggesting they chink seat can be flipped.. https://secure.winred.com/alaskans-for-dan-sullivan/ad?utm_source=AD&utm_medium=

 

 

 

 

Ignore the Polls! They’re dated relics that no longer reflect the reality of the electorate. By Auguste Meyrat

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/12/ignore-the-polls/

According to most election polls over the past few weeks, Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in most states, often by double-digits. On leadership ability, most responders to these polls also favor Biden over Trump. Because of this, most election experts and their models predict a massive blue wave that will bring Biden and the other Democrats into office.

Another poll, however, seems to run against this idea: a plurality of Americans (roughly 39 percent) think their neighbors will vote for Trump. Not only does this cast doubt on other polls showing Biden in the lead, it also casts doubt on the very idea of polling itself. If the phenomenon of the “shy Trump voter” is real and the polls seem incapable of accounting for this, then the polls are never going to be accurate. 

Perhaps it’s time to consider the possibility that election polls and the models based on them are passé. They are the obsolete remnant of the 20th century that believed in reducing everything to scientific, quantifiable data. To work, they rely on a tolerant political climate, cooperative participants, and objective data compilers and analysts. In each of these regards, none of these factors exist today, and Democrats have only themselves to blame for it since they have subordinated everything to their political agenda.

This can be seen most easily with the first factor: tolerance. In their more liberal days, Democrats used to preach tolerance, but as a more activist, socialist Left has taken over the party, tolerance has now morphed into enthusiastic validation. While tolerance can allow for disagreement, the command to celebrate minority populations, habits, and opinions equates disagreement with rank bigotry. 

Gaffe-O-Matic: In One Day, Joe Biden Rolls Out Three Laughable Blunders By Matt Margolis

https://pjmedia.com/election/matt-margolis/2020/10/12/gaffe-o-matic-in-one-day-joe-biden-rolls-out-three-laughable-blunders-n1041238

Former Vice President Joe Biden is running for the most powerful office on earth. Biden had a very bad day on Monday, making a series of gaffes that once again destroy confidence in his ability to be president.

First, Biden forgot Mitt Romney’s name while attempting to explain why he opposes Senate Democrats targeting Judge Amy Coney Barrett’s Catholic faith.

“You may remember, I got in trouble when we were running against that senator who was a Mormon, the governor,” Biden said. Is Mitt Romney that forgettable?

Later, in Toledo, Ohio, Biden forgot which office he is actually running for. Which seems like a big problem considering he’s been running for president for over a year.

Joe Biden: “I’m running as a proud Democrat for the Senate”

Biden also got the website wrong when telling voters in Ohio where to go online to get voting information.

After saying he’s running for Senate, a confused Joe Biden tells voters to go to http://IWill.com/Ohio, which is not a real website.And we’re supposed to believe Biden is fit for office?

Biden Plagiarism Involved More Than the Words by Ira Stoll

https://www.nysun.com/national/bidens-plagiarism-involved-more-than-kinnocks/91294/

Thanks are owed to Vice President Pence for, at the outset of his debate with Senator Kamala Harris, making reference to “plagiarism, which is something Joe Biden knows a little bit about.” The lead front-page New York Times news article about the debate dismissed it as “Biden’s 33-year-old plagiarism scandal.”

The scandal, which led in 1987 to Senator Biden dropping out of the Democratic presidential race, wasn’t so much that Mr. Biden had borrowed words or phrases. Politicians do that all the time. It’s that he had falsified his own background to make it seem more blue-collar than it is. That’s a charge that may resonate again in the current campaign.

Britain’s Labor Party leader Neil Kinnock had talked about his coal miner ancestors. “Why am I the first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university…Was it because all our predecessors were thick? . . . Those people who could sing and play and recite and write poetry? . . . Those people who could work eight hours underground and then come up and play football?”

Mr. Biden had stolen the lines: “Why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go to a university? . . . Is it because I’m the first Biden in a thousand generations to get a college and a graduate degree? That I was smarter than the rest? Those same people who read poetry and wrote poetry and taught me how to sing verse? Is it because they didn’t work hard? My ancestors, who worked in the coal mines of northeast Pennsylvania and would come up after 12 hours and play football for four hours?”

[VIDEO] What if Biden and Harris Held a Campaign Event Together… And Nobody Showed Up? By Matt Margolis

https://pjmedia.com/election/matt-margolis/2020/10/12/videos-what-if-biden-and-harris-held-a-campaign-event-together-and-nobody-showed-up-n1039166

That is actually not a hypothetical question. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris held their first campaign event together in the battleground state of Arizona, and a local news reporter outside the event was left stunned at the lack of supporters rallying outside the event.

Trump campaign senior legal adviser Jenna Ellis noted that more people showed up to see her, Trump campaign director of strategic communications Marc Lotter, and senior adviser John Pence when they visited Arizona for an event.

While polls show Trump trailing in Arizona, the undeniable enthusiasm gap between Trump and Biden in this battleground state has me, for the first time, thinking that Trump might keep Arizona in the red this year.

German Journalist in DC Says He Received 3 Ballots in Mail, One for Dead Person By Petr Svab

https://www.theepochtimes.com/german-journalist-in-dc-says-he-received-3-ballots-in-mail-one-for-dead-person_3535708.html

A German journalist living in Washington who isn’t eligible to vote recently found three ballots in his mail.

Stefan Niemann is a United states correspondent for ARD, the German state-funded broadcaster.

On Oct. 10, he posted on Twitter a picture of a mail-in ballot for the upcoming election.

“The chaos that [President Donald] Trump lamented with the delivery of mail voting papers is here,” a translation of Niemann’s tweet says.

“I am not allowed to vote here. But three ballots came to my Washington address: for the previous tenant who moved five years ago, the landlady living in Puerto Rico, and her deceased husband.”

The tweet gained traction as Richard Grenell, former acting Director of National Intelligence and former ambassador to Germany, shared it on his Twitter the next day.

“German journalist living in the US (with no US voting rights) received multiple ballots in the mail,” he said. “This is outrageous.”

In another tweet, Niemann apparently responded to a comment.

“Yes, U.S. voters must first register and put a signature on file. What I’m saying is: the voter rolls are not up to date, also because registration systems are full of holes. Of course, there should be a comparison at the end so that everyone only votes once.”

‘Kinda Boring Out Here’ — Not A Single Person Showed Up to Biden Event In Arizona John Salvatore

https://flagandcross.com/kinda-boring-out-here-not-a-single-person-showed-up-to-biden-event-in-arizona/

It seems that most states have seen massive rallies with numbers in the thousands of people showing support for President Trump – even in deep blue states like California.

The same can’t really be said in favor of Joe Biden.

On Sunday, the Biden/Harris campaign learned just how popular they really are in Arizona.

The local Fox News anchor covering the “event” said, “I’m told by one of the Biden staffers, local staffers, that they kind of kept the details about the visit, as far as the timing and the exact location, they didn’t really want to give that out to the public, because they want to keep the crowds to a minimum. They realize we are in a pandemic and they don’t want a crowd of more than fifty people at any of their events.”

Uh huh.

Is Big Tech Breaking Campaign Finance Laws? Julie Kelly

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/11/is-big-tech-breaking-campaign-finance-laws/

The president and the GOP should weigh all of their options on how to pursue legal recourse against these companies for openly campaigning on behalf of Democrats in possible violation of federal law.

A mayoral candidate in Texas was arrested October 8 and charged with 84 counts of mail application ballot fraud; Zul Mohamed, running for mayor of Carrollton, forged nearly one hundred voter registration applications. “At the time of arrest, Mohamed was in the process of stuffing envelopes with additional mail ballot applications for neighboring Dallas County,” law enforcement officials reported. He also was charged with 25 counts of “unlawful possession of an official mail in ballot” and faces up to 20 years in prison.

The incident was just one more in a string of reports last week about rampant voter fraud.

But facts are a tough thing for our Big Tech overlords to accept. The day after the Texas arrest, Twitter issued another election-related decree allowing the company to censor and suppress posts critical of mail-in voting. 

In September—the same month the company’s public policy director left to join Joe Biden’s transition team—Twitter announced a “Civic Integrity” policy informing users how the platform would be monitored before and after Election Day. “We will label or remove false or misleading information about how to participate in an election or other civic process,” the policy warns.

Posts deemed inaccurate about “election rigging, ballot tampering, [and] vote tallying” will be subjected to Twitter’s heavy hand. The new policy will enable Twitter censors to slap an alert that reads “This is disputed” and redirect users to what it considers “credible information.” An example cited by the company in its announcement shows a user comment flagged for expressing concern about unreliable results from mail-in votes.

The Plot Against America by Frank Furedi

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/16556/the-plot-against-america

It seems that this election is not just about which candidate gets elected — it is ultimately about America’s commitment to empirical facts, its extraordinary Constitution and its determination to maintain its leadership role in the world by refusing to allow cheating and corruption, in either its elections or its governmental institutions. One can only hope that the ideals of the Founding Founders will prevail.

From Europe, the culture war raging in the United States is disturbing. In the presidential election, it seems that radical anti-American forces are questioning the very foundation on which Western civilisation was built. The New York Times seems too similar to the propaganda we were fed by the Hungarian Stalinist Pravda during the days of communist tyranny.

Contaminating the Past

In the Western world, the past has become the target of an ideological crusade. Many of its historic monuments and symbols are being vandalised, defaced or destroyed altogether. In the United States, the national flag has been treated with derision and denounced by leading members of its cultural institutions as a symbol of racism, oppression and discrimination. Commentators have been regularly condemning their nation’s past and portraying it as a source of irredeemable shame.

In recent times, hostility towards the very foundation on which different Western nations rest has acquired a systematic form. This trend is most strikingly articulated by The New York Times’ 1619 Project — to devalue and criminalise the founding of the United States.

Through distorting America’s history, this project claims that the year 1619, and not 1776, constitutes the origin of the United States. It was in 1619 that African slaves arrived in Jamestown, and this event has been rebranded as the origins of the US. Why? Because the 1619 Project insists that the US was founded for the purpose of entrenching slavery and that to this day, this nation is dominated by that legacy. According to this inaccurate version of the past, the American Revolution was not so much a war of independence but a selfish act of preserving exploitation and oppression. In this way, the contribution of the American Revolution to the development of the Western ideals of individual liberty and personal responsibility is erased from history. America’s Declaration of Independence and — especially for the time — its remarkably advanced liberal and democratic Constitution and Bill of Rights are implicitly renounced as slave-owners’ charters.

Court Packing Is Just The Beginning, Dems Want To Pack The Senate And Electoral College, Too

https://issuesinsights.com/2020/10/12/dems-plan-to-pack-the-senate-and-the-electoral-college-as-well-as-the-supreme-court/

Joe Biden has so far refused to answer the question of whether he’d pack the Supreme Court with leftist justices. But he hasn’t even been asked about a more worrisome scheme he and his party are cooking up to ensure Democrats’ election victories well into the future.

So far, Biden has inartfully dodged the question of whether he would support adding justices to the Supreme Court. All he would say in the debate was “Whatever the position I take, that will be the issue” and in Arizona, he said, “You’ll know my opinion on court-packing when the election is over.”

Biden knows court-packing doesn’t poll well, and so with the help of the press, he is avoiding the topic. But Senate Democrats have already made it clear that they will take that route should President Donald Trump get Judge Amy Coney Barrett on the bench.

What hasn’t received nearly enough attention, however, is the other plan Democrats are hatching to take seize control of the Senate, and make winning the presidency easier, by granting statehood to Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico.

As the Washington Examiner reported: “Key Democratic leaders, already mulling adding more justices to the Supreme Court if they take the White House and Senate, are also eager to add two more states, a move that could shift the Electoral College permanently to liberals.”

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said recently that: “Believe me. On D.C. and Puerto Rico, particularly if Puerto Rico votes for it — D.C. already has voted for it and wants it — I’d love to make them states.”

Biden has long supported D.C. statehood, and during remarks at a Hispanic Heritage Month kickoff event in Kissimmee, Florida, he said that Puerto Rican statehood “would be the most effective means of ensuring that residents of Puerto Rico are treated equally.”