Rasmussen:Trump 48, Biden 36, Kennedy 8,West/Stein 1 | RCP Avg: Trump +3.2
https://amgreatness.com/2024/05/03/six-reasons-why-tulsi-gabbard-is-donald-trumps-best-choice-as-a-running-mate/
Despite the unprecedented and coordinated lawfare deployed against him, Donald Trump has emerged as the Republican presidential front-runner. Tulsi Gabbard, a former Democrat who is both a centrist and moderate (by today’s definitions), has emerged as his most compelling and logical selection to be his running mate. I base my analysis on six compelling factors.
Reason Number One: She’s a woman. Let’s face 2024’s political reality. To have any chance to grab his fair share of suburban female voters in crucial swing states, Trump almost definitely has to pick a woman. While I once thought Kristi Noem would have been a great running mate, she committed political suicide last week with a puppy-killing narrative that ended any hope of that, especially after mainstream media gaslighted her in their attempt to destroy her. That narrative will never go away. Neither will the salacious reports that she had a not-too-secret extra-marital affair with Trump-aligned political consultant Cory Lewandowski. Gabbard has no such liability.
In a sane world without gender balance being an overriding consideration, I’d prefer either Kentucky Senator Rand Paul or Louisiana Senator John Kennedy to be Trump’s running mate. But both are more valuable as members of Republican leadership in the Senate. Either would be a great pick to be Majority Leader in a Republican-led Senate during Trump’s second term. And while I hate to say it, being a woman puts Gabbard in the best position among all of Trump’s potential choices to help him defuse any potentially dangerous fallout over the abortion issue—currently the only issue on which Biden has any measurable lead over Trump in polling. Gabbard’s and Trump’s positions on abortion are generally in sync, referring the issue to the states to decide.
Reason Number Two: Gabbard currently holds no elective office. This works against many others reportedly on Trump’s shortlist. These include (in alphabetical order) North Dakota Governor Doug Burgrum, Florida Representative Byron Donalds, Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders, South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, New York Representative Elise Stefanik, and Ohio Senator J. D. Vance—all of whom might be more valuable as surrogates and elected politicians than as Trump’s running mate. I’ve left off this list of other non-elected officials like Tucker Carlson and Ben Carson, as well as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (who ruled out accepting such a role but who could end up being one of Trump’s most important surrogates in the fall).
https://amgreatness.com/2024/04/28/shock-and-awe-on-the-campaign-trail/
I would wager that a million or more words have been written about the trials and tribulations—but especially the trials—of Donald Trump. I have written quite a few myself, here at American Greatness and elsewhere.
Some stories from the left are of the gleefully salivating variety. “Goodie! The Bad Orange Man is Getting His and Might Even go to Jail. Hallelujah!”
But it is my impression that more and more commentary has a worried, if not an out-and-out tone of alarm. Former Attorney General William Barr is no fan of Donald Trump. But he recently announced that he was endorsing Trump because the likely alternative—Joe Biden—was so much worse.
I suspect that, with the passage of time, that endorsement will be seen to mark a turning point in l’affaire Trump. If even an anti-Trump figure like Bill Barr has lined up behind the former president, a rearrangement of the stars is underway.
Note well: The primary fulcrum of this change is not an assessment of the relative merits of Trump vs. Biden. Rather, it’s a reaction against the perversion of the DOJ and the coercive power of the state under Biden. Trump is the most obvious victim. But any opponent of the regime is a potential target.
“Shock and Awe” is the popular phrase military folks use to describe a strategy of using “spectacular displays of force to paralyze the enemy’s perception of the battlefield and destroy their will to fight.”
That is a good description of what the Biden administration is attempting to do to Donald Trump. Thanks to the incisive reporting of Julie Kelly, Mike Davis, and others, we now know that there was extensive co-ordination between the Biden White House and the myriad prosecutors, attorneys general, FBI agents, and other official factota to formulate a strategy to indict, intimidate, and neutralize Trump as a political actor.
Sunday, April 28
General Election: Trump vs. Biden
CNN
Trump 49, Biden 43
Trump +6
General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein
CNN
Trump 42, Biden 33, Kennedy 16, West 4, Stein 3
Trump +9
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden
CBS News/YouGov
Trump 50, Biden 49
Trump +1
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden
CBS News/YouGov
Trump 50, Biden 49
Trump +1
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden
CBS News/YouGov
Trump 49, Biden 51
Biden +2
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein
CBS News/YouGov*
Biden 45, Trump 43, Kennedy 9, Stein 3, West
Biden +2
https://issuesinsights.com/2024/04/26/the-democrats-plan-to-steal-the-presidency-for-good/
While Americans brace for another contentious presidential election, the Democrats have a better idea: Subvert the Constitution in the name of “democracy.” Once again, the party of the left shows why it’s losing Americans’ trust.
Quietly but steadily, the Democratic Party has been advancing its latest bold idea to create a uni-party state: A “National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.”
In case you missed it, the Associated Press reported last week that “Maine will become the latest to join a multistate effort to elect the president by popular vote,” the 17th state to do so.
As the AP noted, “Under the proposed compact, each state would allocate all its electoral votes to whoever wins the national popular vote for president, regardless of how individual states voted in an election.”
The goal of this “movement” — it’s really a plot — is to get enough states to join to get to the magic number of 270 electoral votes, the amount needed to win the Electoral College. With Maine, the group now claims 209 electoral votes, a mere 61 away from their goal.
Bloomberg Battleground State Polls
Wisconsin: Trump 48, Biden 44
Arizona: Trump 49, Biden 42
Georgia: Trump 49, Biden 43
Michigan: Biden 47, Trump 45
Pennsylvania: Trump 47, Biden 46
North Carolina: Trump 51, Biden 41
Nevada: Trump 51, Biden 43
This article is based on a briefing from John Eastman to Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20588/most-secure-election
What did the founders do? They committed an act of treason by signing the Declaration of Independence. They recognized at some point you have to take on the established regime when it is not only unjust, but when there is no lawful way to get it back on track. These matters frame our own nation.
Texas had just filed its original action in the Supreme Court against Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan — four swing states whose election officers had clearly violated election law in those states and with an impact that put Biden over the top in all four.
In Georgia, the Secretary of State, Brad Raffensperger, signed a settlement agreement in March of 2020 in a suit that was filed by the Democratic Committee that essentially obliterated the signature verification process in Georgia. It made it virtually impossible to disqualify any ballots no matter how unlike the signature on the ballot was to the signature in the registration file. The most troubling aspect of it, to me, was that the law required that the signature match the registration signature. When Brad Raffensperger, who is not part of the legislature, unilaterally changed the rule from what the legislature had adopted by statute, that change was unconstitutional, not just illegal.
Unilaterally, [the Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Kathy Boockvar] got rid of a statute that election officials in Pennsylvania had been applying for 100 years to require signature verification. She then asked the Pennsylvania Supreme Court to approve what she had done….In other words, all of the statutory provisions that were designed to protect against fraud were obliterated in Pennsylvania. We ought not to be surprised if fraud walked through the door left open by the unconstitutional elimination of these statutes.
To this day, there are 120,000 more votes that were cast in Pennsylvania than their records show voters who have cast votes. Think about that: 120,000 more votes than voters who cast votes. The margin in Pennsylvania was 80,000.
Election officials in heavily Democrat counties [in Wisconsin] also set up drop boxes. They even set up what they called “human drop boxes” in Madison, which is the home of the University of Wisconsin. For two or three consecutive Saturdays before the election, they basically ran a ballot harvesting scheme at taxpayer expense with volunteers – whom I suspect were actually supporters of the Biden campaign — working as “deputized” county clerks to go collect all these ballots, in violation of state law.
A lot of these came in with the witness signatures, but the address not filled in. The county clerks were directed by the Secretary of State to fill the information in on their own. In other words, they were doctoring the evidence.
They were doing Google searches to get the name, to fill in an address to validate ballots that were clearly illegal under Wisconsin law. All told, those couple of things combined, more than 200,000 ballots were affected in a state where the margin victory was just over 20,000.
Then in Michigan, we had similar things going on. We probably all saw the video of election officials boarding up the canvassing center at TCF Center in Detroit so that people could not observe what was going on. There were hundreds of sworn affidavits about illegality in the conduct of that process in Detroit.
The judge, without holding a hearing on a motion to dismiss, at which the allegations of the complaint are supposed to be taken as true, rejected all the sworn affidavits from all the witnesses who actually observed the illegality, and instead credited the government affidavit – without the government witness evening being subject to questioning on cross-examination.
In those four states, and in Arizona and Nevada as well, there is no question that the illegality that occurred affected way more ballots than the certified margin of Joe Biden’s victory in all of those states. It only took three of those six states — any combination of three — for Trump to have won the election.
Well, first of all, that mantra….: “All the cases, all the courts ruled against Trump.” First of all, that is not true. Most of the cases were rejected on very technical jurisdictional grounds, like a case brought by a voter, rather than the candidate himself.
Individual voters do not have standing because they lack a particularized injury. Those were dismissed. There is no basis for claiming that there was anything wrong with the claims on the merits. It is just that the cases were not brought by the right people.
There was one case where one of these illegal guidances from the Secretary of State was challenged before the election. The judge ruled that it was just a guidance, and that until we get to election day to find out if the law was actually violated, the case was not ripe — and it got dismissed. Then the day after the election, when election officials actually violated the law, the case gets filed again, and the court says, “You can’t wait until your guy loses and then bring the election challenge. It’s barred by a doctrine called laches. This is the kind of stuff that the Trump legal team was dealing with in those 65 cases.
Of the cases that actually reached the merits –there were fewer than a dozen of them, if I recall correctly — Trump won three-fourths of them. You have never heard that in the “New York Times.”
The 65 Project was formed — I think I’ve seen reported that they received a grant from a couple of George Soros-related organizations of $100 million — to bring disbarment actions against all of the lawyers who were involved in any of those cases.
https://issuesinsights.com/2024/04/22/will-israel-be-a-game-changer-in-the-2024-election-ii-tipp-poll/
In recent weeks, the Biden administration has distanced itself and U.S. policy from Israel’s response to attacks from Hamas and Iran, two of Israel’s bitterest enemies. Americans show sharp political divisions in their support of Joe Biden’s policy shift toward the U.S.’ long-time Mideast ally.
Hardly a day goes by without more news from the Mideast, much of it related to Israel’s retaliation following Hamas’ shocking Oct. 7 invasion, resulting in at least 1,200 dead and 240 kidnapped and held as hostages in Gaza and elsewhere.
This month, after Israeli missiles killed the Iranian general who masterminded the raid, Iran launched a massive missile and drone strike against Israel. It was successfully defended by Israel and its regional allies, including the U.S. Israel followed up with an April 18 offensive of its own on key military and nuclear sites in Iran.
For this month’s nationwide online I&I/TIPP Poll of 1,432 voters taken from April 3-5, we asked Americans about the cooling of formerly warm ties between the U.S. and Israel:
“In recent weeks, the Biden administration has shifted away from Israel by refusing to veto an anti-Israel measure at the U.N., blocking some arms shipments to Israel, and giving aid to Gaza, now controlled by the terrorist group Hamas. Do you agree or disagree with this shift away from Israel?”
Those who answered the poll, with a margin of error, were given five possible responses: “agree strongly,” “agree somewhat,” “disagree somewhat,” “agree somewhat,” and “not sure.”
Americans are split almost equally between “agree” (37%) and “disagree” (35%). Broken down further, 19% said they “agree strongly,” while 18% said they “agree somewhat” with Biden’s shift away from supporting Israel. Among those on other side of the issue, “11%” said they disagreed “somewhat,” while 24% said they disagreed “strongly.”
A hefty 27% said they were not sure.
Battlegrounds Trump Biden Spread
Wisconsin 47.8 47.2 Trump +0.6
Arizona 49.0 44.5 Trump +4.5
Georgia 49.4 45.6 Trump +3.8
Michigan 48.0 45.2 Trump +2.8
Pennsylvania 46.2 46.3 Biden +0.1
North Carolina 48.4 44.4 Trump +4.0
Nevada 47.5 44.3 Trump +3.2
https://amgreatness.com/2024/04/15/gaming-the-2024-campaign/
We have seen enough of the Biden-Trump race so far to predict what lies ahead over the next seven months of the campaign. Currently, the polls are about dead even. Trump, however, for now enjoys small leads in the majority of the fickle swing/purple states that will likely decide the election.
So here is what we should expect:
Biden
Biden has three major vulnerabilities and three major assets. His fate will depend on how these criteria play out.
First, on the negative side of the ledger, Biden suffers continual mental and physical decline, which is accelerating exponentially. His work week is now more off than on. Aides pray that he can get through a teleprompter without complete incoherence. His speech is so slurred, his syntax so bizarre that he seems to speak a language that is mostly indecipherable.
They rightly fear that any young attractive woman or even preteen might earn a trademark Biden weird call-out, a hair- or accustomed ear-blow, or even an attempted presidential too-long hug or neck nibble.
Steps pose an existential threat, given that the president is one trip away from oblivion. Biden is not even the diminished Biden of 2020, when, in his basement, he at least manipulated the COVID-19 lockdown to mask his infirmities and abbreviated schedules.
The odds are 50/50 whether Biden will even make it over the next five months to the August Democratic Convention. And, assuming that he does, can he rein in efforts to push him off the ticket?
Second, the Biden family is corrupt. Hunter still faces spring- and summer-long felony exposure in connection with his Biden-family brand of tax cheating. Joe knows that his own documents, first-hand witnesses, bank statements, Hunter’s emails, and testimonies from Hunter’s associates reveal that the otherwise talentless but high-living Biden extended family was surviving only by the sale of Senator, Vice President, and future President Joe Biden’s name—and his known willingness to pay fast and loose with legal and ethical constraints.
