Al Qaeda has a new franchise: Qaedat al-Jihad in the Indian Subcontinent. On Wednesday, Ayman al-Zawahiri, widely believed to be in hiding in Pakistan, appeared in a video announcing the creation of the jihadist group’s latest offshoot. It will be led by Asim Umar, a somewhat obscure militant best known for an online video calling on Indian Muslims to sign up for a global jihad. Zawahiri says the group will “raise the flag of jihad, return Islamic rule, and empower the Sharia of Allah across the Indian subcontinent.”
Mr. Zawahiri’s threats should be taken seriously. However, the bigger danger to India is al Qaeda’s rival for leadership of global jihadism: the terrorist group ISIS, also known simply as Islamic State. Al Qaeda may well have deeper networks in the subcontinent. But in terms of both sophisticated messaging and raw appeal, the 63-year-old Egyptian doctor’s outfit cannot match the ISIS upstarts who burst into the public eye after capturing Mosul, Iraq’s second largest city, in June.
Consider the evidence. At least four Indian Muslims have reportedly signed up to fight with ISIS in Iraq. Last week, one of them, a 22-year-old engineering student named Arif Majeed, was reported killed, possibly in a U.S. airstrike. He left behind a letter to his family in which he explained his reasons for traveling from his home outside Mumbai to Iraq: “It is a blessed journey for me, because I don’t want to live in this sinful country.”
Meanwhile, police in the southern state of Tamil Nadu arrested a Muslim cleric after a group photo of young Muslim men posing outside a mosque in ISIS T-shirts began to circulate on social media.
These may be isolated incidents, and the vast majority of Indian Muslims shows no signs of being attracted to any jihadist group. But ISIS has arguably made a bigger splash in India in three months than al Qaeda could manage in the 26 years since it was founded in Pakistan by Osama bin Laden.