On May 13, 2014, Franklin Miller, Principal, Scowcroft Group, delivered an important address on “The Emerging Nuclear Deterrent Challenges: Thoughts on the Nuclear Triad and Arms Control” at the Congressional Breakfast Seminar Series on Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense, (in its 34th year) sponsored by the Air Force Association and hosted by Peter Huessy. This is a critically important subject that needs greater national attention especially how China and Russia see their nuclear arsenals and the role such weapons play in geostrategic relations.
MR. FRANK MILLER: Thank you, Peter. Nice to see you again. I want to thank Peter on two counts: first, for inviting me back to conduct my annual revisit to the wonderful world of nuclear policy; and second, for keeping this series going lo these many years to provide a forum for those of us whose views are not consistent with what the Politically Correct believe.
I would like to spend my time with you this morning talking about three subjects: Russia, Arms Control, and the Administration’s need to come to grips with the serious problems we face in our strategic arsenal.
First, Russia. It is essential that we come to grips with the fact that Russia under Czar Vladimir the bare-chested has become a very dangerous threat to global security. If you have not yet done so, I urge you to read Putin’s March 18 speech to the Russian parliament. It is a chilling statement of perceived historical wrongs and slights mixed with a thinly veiled warning of his intent to redress them. Truly, Churchill’s magnificent 1940 description of Adolf Hitler comes to mind: “This wicked man, the repository and embodiment of many forms of soul-destroying hatred, this monstrous product of former wrongs and shame.”
Putin augments his dangerous world view with a menacing military capability. I have been pointing out for several years from this podium that Russia is engaging in a massive modernization of its entire strategic Triad. It is deploying two new types of ICBMs while developing a third, a follow-on to the heavy, heavily MIRVed, SS-18. It is deploying two new types of SLBMs and a new type of SSBN.
It is in the final stages of development of a new long-range air-launched nuclear tipped cruise missile. It has built a new ground-launched cruise missile which violates the INF treaty (more on that later). It is maintaining a vast and bloated arsenal of shorter-range nuclear warheads and systems, including a nuclear tipped short-range ballistic missile [SS-26] which violates Russia’s commitments under the 1991 and 1992 Presidential Nuclear Initiatives.
The Russian government’s response to President Obama’s 2009 plea that nuclear weapons be accorded a reduced role in nations’ security policies has been to maintain a nuclear doctrine which calls for the use of nuclear weapons in local and regional wars. If you perused You-Tube in December 2013 and again last week you would see president Putin ostentatiously presiding over nuclear force exercises featuring live launches from all legs of their strategic triad. As the Soviets were fond of saying: “This is no accident comrade.”
What should we make of this? First, Putin does not accept Mr. Obama’s view of the role of nuclear weapons. Second, contrary to the politically correct apologia, Putin’s intended audience is not an internal one but us and our allies: he uses Russia’s nuclear weapons to try to intimidate and blackmail.
Add to this Putin’s policy of flying strategic bombers close to the national airspace of the UK, Norway, the Netherlands, Denmark, Japan, and the United States, Russian military exercises which simulate nuclear strikes on Poland and the Baltic states, and the repeated pronouncements by senior Russian officials about targeting the West with nuclear weapons and you get a fairly complete picture.