The well-worn notion that much of the public has been fed is that Senator Ted Cruz, along with Mike Lee and many Republican House members, caused the government shutdown which was, itself, a disaster. While far from true, the real battle is whether Republicans will learn the proper lessons and how they will move from here, together or in internal disarray, toward their own private sector reform or submit to a pre-planned Democrat drive toward a single payer system.
While extremist radicals such as Sean Penn called for Cruz to be “institutionalized,” the prominent attack on Cruz, primarily by “reasonable” Republicans such as John McCain and Peter King, has been that he chose the wrong “strategy” in his attempt, first to defund Obamacare and later, to cause a delay in its individual mandate and elimination of Congress’ own exemption. It was argued that even if Cruz had convinced enough Senators to vote with him, President Obama would have exercised his veto. Further, no matter how it occurred, any government shutdown would be blamed on Republicans. Instead, they insist, Obamacare would have imploded on its own.
It is certainly true Republicans have taken a beating in the polls. The real cause, however, was the constant bantering of messages by Democrats and their key ally, the media. For months before the shutdown, the media essentially installed critical notions in the minds of the public such as “Republicans will be blamed,” “Obama will not budge,” “a shutdown will result in a national, if not international crisis,” and so on. We tend to think we are sophisticated evaluators of incoming information but, for the most part, our minds find it difficult to fend off that which is constantly barraging them. And once those ideas were force fed to the public, the public tended to feed them right back in the form of polls which, in turn, caused further amplification of the notion.
Accordingly, rarely was the more accurate proposition that Obama and the Democrats were responsible for the shutdown because they refused to negotiate with Cruz and House Republicans given much airtime. Similarly, if Cruz had been successful in converting enough Senators, Obama would have had a difficult time standing alone with his veto trying to do what he does best- blame others. The game would have been very different if the Senate had gone against Obama. And even if the Senate did not fully fall in line with Cruz, many borderline seats would then be better poised for Republican rebounds in the 2014 elections. The only thing that ultimately made Cruz’s actions “bad strategy” is that the “reasonable” Progressive Republicans chose not to join.