https://issuesinsights.com/2021/04/30/biden-deserves-zero-credit-for-booming-economy-covid-gains/
In his speech to Congress this week, President Joe Biden heartily patted himself on the back for everything good that is happening right now.
He described a country in crisis when he took office and said that “After 100 days of rescue and renewal, America is ready for a take off.”
The day after Biden’s speech, the Commerce Department reported GDP growth for the first three months of this year was 6.4%. New COVID cases are on the decline, and vaccines are plentiful.
So, it looks like Biden’s right, doesn’t it?
Except he doesn’t deserve any credit for any of those things.
Take the GDP number. Far from being in a Great Depression-scale crisis, the economy had been rapidly recovering from the government-mandated (and scientifically unjustified) lockdowns – with GDP leaping 33.4% in the third quarter of last year and another 4.3% in the fourth quarter.
When Biden took office, Q1 of this year was nearly a third over, and he didn’t sign his “American Rescue Plan” into law until mid-March, just two weeks before the quarter ended. So, even though checks started rolling out to people, that rescue plan was too late to have a significant impact on overall growth.
As a matter of fact, the GDPNow forecast for Q1 – which is a running estimate of the economy based on available data as they are released – was much higher before Biden signed his rescue plan than where it ended up. (See the chart below.)