http://www.meforum.org/3637/israel-jewish-majority
VERY WELCOME DEVELOPMENT BUT NOT ENTIRELY NEW….AMBASSADOR (RET.) YORAM ETTINGER WAS THE PIONEER IN ISRAELI CENSUS STUDIES THAT PROVED THE “DEMOGRAPHIC DOOMSDAYERS” WRONG. FOR TOO LONG SOME PARTISANS OF ISRAEL WERE WRINGING THEIR HANDS ABOUT AN POTENTIAL ARAB MAJORITY THAT WOULD PRECLUDE A “DEMOCRATIC” ISRAEL. EVENTS ON THE GROUND INCLUDING JUDEA AND SAMARIA HAVE PROVEN THEM WRONG EXACTLY AS ETTINGER PREDICTED…..RSK
Growth trends and population forecasts have played a significant role in the political landscape of the Middle East, especially over the thorny question of Israel and the disputed territories. The notion that the Jewish majority of Israel is in danger of being swamped by Arab fertility has repeatedly been used as a political and psychological weapon to extract territorial concessions from the Israeli government. In September 2010, U.S. president Barack Obama referred to the so-called “hard realities of demography” that threaten the survival of the Jewish state.[1]
Such a conclusion is wrong. Analysis of long-term demographic developments leads to quite the opposite conclusion: In the long run, a strong Jewish majority, not only in the state of Israel—as this author projected almost twenty-five years ago[2] and the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics recently reaffirmed[3]—but also in the Land of Israel[4] is quite possible.
Middle East Population Annual Growth
It is useful to analyze the processes among world populations in general and in the Middle East and the Arab world in particular. Such scrutiny helps to determine whether demographic trends within the Jewish and Arab population groups living in the Land of Israel differ or resemble the general tendencies observable within the global population over the last sixty plus years, the same general time frame as that of the state of Israel.
Beginning in 1966, the annual population growth in the Middle East rose consistently until it peaked at 3.24 percent in 1980[5] when it began to ebb—at a faster pace than in the developed world.[6] In the subsequent thirty-two years, the Middle East population increase has gone down by more than a half, to 1.45 percent in 2012 (see Figure 1).