The 2012 Intra-Muslim Predicament
Ambassador (ret.) Yoram Ettinger, “Second Thought”
“Israel Hayom” newsletter, January 20, 2012
http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_opinion.php?id=1230
At the outset of 2012, irrespective of the Arab-Israeli conflict and the Palestinian issue, the defining geopolitical and religious schism in the Middle East is boiling, exacerbating violent intra-Muslim fragmentation, religious, tribal, ideological and geographical.
The Syrian death toll is approaching 7,000, trending toward Papa Assad’s 1982 massacre of 20,000 Sunni rebels. The Turkish-Kurdish confrontation has shifted to a higher gear, exceeding 40,000 casualties since 1984. During the first week of January, a series of sectarian-driven bombings devastated Baghdad and Nasiriyah in Iraq, murdering more than 140 persons. More were killed in the Sunni stronghold of Mosul. Car bombs, suicide bombing and improvised explosive devices have become daily routine in Iraq, whose Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki is a Shia Arab, President Jalal Talabani is a Sunni Kurd and Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi is a Sunni Arab. Iraq has become an explosive platform for its vindictive Shia Arab majority (60%), which was dominated and oppressed by the Sunni Arab minority (20%) since the seventeenth century. The historic conflict between Iraq’s Arabs and Iraq’s 15% Kurdish minority – which claims independence in northern Iraq, where it also confronts the Turkish military – further complicates matters.